Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000663 0.000760 0.000863 0.000979 0.001108 0.001245 0.001402
2025-04-13 0.000503 0.000634 0.000784 0.000965 0.001177 0.001416 0.001705
2025-04-20 0.000435 0.000584 0.000762 0.000986 0.001259 0.001577 0.001973
2025-04-27 0.000381 0.000541 0.000740 0.001001 0.001328 0.001722 0.002224
2025-05-04 0.000327 0.000491 0.000703 0.000989 0.001360 0.001815 0.002411
2025-05-11 0.000281 0.000444 0.000664 0.000969 0.001376 0.001888 0.002570
2025-05-18 0.000254 0.000421 0.000651 0.000982 0.001432 0.002010 0.002793
2025-05-25 0.000227 0.000395 0.000634 0.000986 0.001474 0.002113 0.002991
2025-06-01 0.000195 0.000356 0.000594 0.000955 0.001467 0.002148 0.003102
2025-06-08 0.000168 0.000322 0.000559 0.000926 0.001459 0.002182 0.003208
2025-06-15 0.000150 0.000302 0.000542 0.000923 0.001487 0.002263 0.003379
2025-06-22 0.000135 0.000285 0.000527 0.000921 0.001515 0.002345 0.003552
2025-06-29 0.000120 0.000265 0.000508 0.000912 0.001533 0.002412 0.003708
2025-07-06 0.000105 0.000244 0.000485 0.000895 0.001537 0.002461 0.003840
2025-07-13 0.000098 0.000238 0.000486 0.000916 0.001600 0.002594 0.004090
2025-07-20 0.000091 0.000230 0.000483 0.000930 0.001650 0.002710 0.004320
2025-07-27 0.000081 0.000215 0.000465 0.000919 0.001662 0.002769 0.004469
2025-08-03 0.000071 0.000198 0.000444 0.000900 0.001661 0.002808 0.004588
2025-08-10 0.000066 0.000192 0.000442 0.000913 0.001708 0.002921 0.004816
2025-08-17 0.000060 0.000183 0.000434 0.000916 0.001740 0.003011 0.005013
2025-08-24 0.000051 0.000166 0.000409 0.000886 0.001718 0.003017 0.005085
2025-08-31 0.000044 0.000151 0.000386 0.000859 0.001698 0.003024 0.005157
2025-09-07 0.000039 0.000143 0.000377 0.000856 0.001719 0.003096 0.005328